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02 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.8%
West Brom
28.5%
Draw
23.8%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

West Brom

vs
0.95

Reading

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).