Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Moreirense
28.4%
Draw
29.0%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Moreirense
vs
1.12
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).