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08 Dec 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.4%
Eyupspor
37.4%
Draw
34.2%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Eyupspor

vs
1.07

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
16.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).