Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Hoffenheim
24.3%
Draw
38.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Hoffenheim
vs
1.69
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).