Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Eldense
24.9%
Draw
42.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Eldense
vs
1.50
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).