Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Chesterfield
25.7%
Draw
33.2%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Chesterfield
vs
1.19
Colchester
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).