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AHT: 02CSV

18 Apr 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Caen
25.0%
Draw
36.3%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Caen

vs
1.22

Martigues

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).