Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Arbroath
22.0%
Draw
64.1%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Arbroath
vs
2.20
Hearts
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
7.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).