Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Girona
24.4%
Draw
49.0%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Girona
vs
1.70
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).