Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Genk
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Mouscron
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Genk
vs
0.86
Mouscron
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).