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16 Mar 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Osijek
32.3%
Draw
33.8%
Varaždin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Osijek

vs
1.10

Varaždin

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.0%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).