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04 Feb 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Cosenza
31.2%
Draw
39.0%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Cosenza

vs
1.22

Ternana

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).