Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Peterboro
28.0%
Draw
49.8%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Peterboro
vs
1.51
Stoke
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
10.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).