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09 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.4%
Preston
24.7%
Draw
54.9%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Preston

vs
1.82

Coventry

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).