Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Nantes
24.5%
Draw
45.9%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Nantes
vs
1.48
Lorient
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).