Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Tranmere
19.6%
Draw
60.9%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Tranmere
vs
2.13
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).