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18 Sept 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.5%
Nancy
31.9%
Draw
49.6%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.51

Nancy

vs
1.06

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS25.2%
Over 0.580.1%
Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.520.8%
Over 3.57.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
23.0%
0-0
19.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-3
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-2
1.5%
0-4
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).