Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Reading
27.6%
Draw
43.3%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Reading
vs
1.49
QPR
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).