Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.9%
Atalanta
16.5%
Draw
9.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Atalanta
vs
0.70
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).