Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Bastia
30.5%
Draw
29.9%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Bastia
vs
0.81
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
15.4%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).