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24 Sept 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Ajaccio
29.2%
Draw
35.9%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Ajaccio

vs
0.98

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-0
14.9%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).