Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Chelsea
20.2%
Draw
9.7%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Chelsea
vs
0.74
West Brom
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).