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DHT: 10CSV

30 Jan 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Eupen
31.5%
Draw
40.7%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Eupen

vs
1.16

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.9%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).