Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Ipswich
25.8%
Draw
37.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Ipswich
vs
1.55
Fulham
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).