Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
La Coruna
18.9%
Draw
12.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
La Coruna
vs
0.79
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).