Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Fenerbahce
30.9%
Draw
12.3%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Fenerbahce
vs
0.64
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).