Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Boston Utd
29.9%
Draw
29.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Boston Utd
vs
1.07
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).