Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Watford
29.7%
Draw
46.4%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Watford
vs
1.35
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).