Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Darmstadt
25.9%
Draw
56.8%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Darmstadt
vs
1.65
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).