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DHT: 10CSV

28 Jun 2020 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.9%
Dresden
21.5%
Draw
15.6%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Dresden

vs
1.00

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).