Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.9%
Chaves
16.5%
Draw
73.6%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Chaves
vs
2.25
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.7%
0-1
12.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).