Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Cagliari
25.7%
Draw
12.0%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Cagliari
vs
0.60
Livorno
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).