Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.9%
Crotone
13.0%
Draw
79.1%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Crotone
vs
2.78
Roma
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-1
6.1%
1-4
5.5%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
1-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).