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DHT: 11CSV

06 Jun 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Sivasspor
33.0%
Draw
26.6%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Sivasspor

vs
1.10

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).