Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Tenerife
30.0%
Draw
27.5%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Tenerife
vs
0.86
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).