Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
QPR
28.3%
Draw
31.4%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
QPR
vs
1.21
Watford
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).