Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Vallecano
28.7%
Draw
24.1%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Vallecano
vs
0.86
Girona
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).