Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Bastia
32.1%
Draw
44.4%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Bastia
vs
1.00
Troyes
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.547.2%
Over 2.522.2%
Over 3.58.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.7%
0-0
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).