Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.7%
Auxerre
15.1%
Draw
10.2%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Auxerre
vs
0.72
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).