Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Arsenal
17.9%
Draw
6.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Arsenal
vs
0.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
11.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.0%
4-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.2%
0-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).