Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Perugia
32.4%
Draw
34.8%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Perugia
vs
1.08
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).