Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Salford
22.1%
Draw
19.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Salford
vs
0.90
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).