Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Salernitana
22.5%
Draw
51.6%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Salernitana
vs
1.84
Torino
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).