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AHT: 01CSV

20 Jan 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.7%
Amorebieta
28.4%
Draw
30.9%
Eldense

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Amorebieta

vs
1.02

Eldense

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).