Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Morecambe
27.1%
Draw
44.4%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Morecambe
vs
1.29
Accrington
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).