Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Famalicao
32.7%
Draw
17.8%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Famalicao
vs
0.60
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
0-0
17.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).