Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Hartlepool
24.1%
Draw
17.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Hartlepool
vs
0.94
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).