Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Napoli
12.8%
Draw
5.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Napoli
vs
0.55
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).