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27 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.8%
St Truiden
14.3%
Draw
8.9%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.87

St Truiden

vs
0.93

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
4-1
5.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
5-0
3.6%
5-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).