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02 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Hull
38.4%
Draw
29.8%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Hull

vs
0.66

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS23.8%
Over 0.574.5%
Over 1.538.8%
Over 2.515.5%
Over 3.54.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
25.5%
1-0
18.3%
0-1
17.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
1.4%
2-2
1.4%
0-3
1.2%
3-1
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).